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BMW Faces Margin Squeeze and China Slump in Third-Quarter Results

A 37% stock decline since January frames Wednesday’s third-quarter earnings report, as BMW grapples with narrowing margins and a cooling Chinese market. Analysts project revenue of 29.85 billion euros, a significant contraction from the 32.31 billion euros recorded in the same period last year, signaling a difficult transition for the German automaker.

BMW Faces Margin Squeeze and China Slump in Third-Quarter Results

The company’s EBIT is expected to slide to 1.71 billion euros, down from 2.26 billion euros a year ago. Within the core automotive segment, projections hover at 794 million euros, nearly halving the 1.49 billion euros reported in the previous year. While a one-off supplier compensation settlement might provide a temporary lift to quarterly margins, market observers remain focused on the company’s June guidance, which slashed full-year automotive EBIT margin expectations to between 1% and 3%.

Underlying profitability faces mounting pressure from increased depreciation costs, restructuring charges, and soft demand. In China, where deliveries plummeted 25% this quarter, BMW mirrors a broader industry downturn defined by aggressive price wars and fierce local competition. Although these figures slightly outperform the sharper declines seen at rivals Mercedes-Benz and Porsche, analysts expect the regional headwinds to persist, leaving little room for a near-term recovery in the company's fiscal outlook.

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