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Canadian Inflation Ticks Up to 3.1% Driven by Energy Costs

Canada’s annual inflation rate climbed to 3.1% in September, nudged upward by rising oil prices that pushed energy costs higher. Statistics Canada reported the 0.1 percentage point increase on Monday, a rise that remained slightly cooler than the 3.2% acceleration many economists had forecast for the month.

Canadian Inflation Ticks Up to 3.1% Driven by Energy Costs

The consumer price index held steady in August at the upper limit of the Bank of Canada’s 1% to 3% target window before this recent shift. When gasoline is stripped out of the calculation, inflation actually slowed to 2.2% from the 2.4% recorded in August. Monthly price growth was also modest, rising 0.1%—a softer pace than the 0.2% advance anticipated by analysts.

While headline numbers show a slight increase, the Bank of Canada’s preferred gauges for underlying inflation—the trimmed mean and weighted median—eased to 1.85%. This represents the slowest pace for these core measures in six years, down from 1.95% in August. On a seasonally adjusted basis, the broader consumer price index recorded a 0.4% increase compared to the previous month.

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