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Honda Braces for Sharp Profit Drop Amid EV Costs and Tariffs

Honda Motor is expected to report a 69% decline in third-quarter net profit on Tuesday, as the Japanese automaker navigates a difficult transition toward electrification and shifting trade dynamics. Analysts polled by Quick estimate that earnings for the three months ended December fell to ¥95.12 billion ($605 million), down from ¥310.58 billion a year earlier, on the back of a 7.7% slide in revenue.

Honda Braces for Sharp Profit Drop Amid EV Costs and Tariffs

The anticipated earnings slump underscores the pressure on Honda’s bottom line, which has been squeezed by a combination of macroeconomic headwinds and internal restructuring. The company’s operating profit margin narrowed to 4.1% in the first half of the fiscal year, down from 6.9% previously. This decline was driven by the impact of U.S. tariffs and significant one-time expenditures related to the development of electric vehicles, according to the company’s earlier financial disclosures.

A Divergence in Market Performance

While the automotive segment faces challenges, Honda’s motorcycle business continues to serve as a vital earnings driver. The division recorded a 13% increase in operating profit during the first half, totaling ¥368.2 billion, as robust growth in Brazil and the Philippines helped mitigate a slowdown in the Vietnamese market. Investors will be closely monitoring this segment to see if it can continue to buffer the company against broader volatility.

The upcoming report will also provide clarity on Honda’s full-year outlook for the fiscal year ending in March. Management currently expects a 10% drop in global car sales to 3.34 million units and a 64% plunge in annual net profit. Any adjustments to this guidance will be pivotal for the stock, which has gained 6.4% year-to-date following a marginal increase in 2025.

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